Important Announcement: Due to the US Government shutdown, the COT Reports will not be published at this time. The CFTC has announced that they will resume publication once federal operations are back to normal.
During this period, members can consider using the iCOT Intraday Indicator on daily or weekly candles, which can also measure stresses in the market accurately. We appreciate your understanding.
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New COTBase Launch Webinar slides - April 6, 2018
COTBase.com Team (2019)
Showcase of our new features, webinar recording available on our YouTube channel:
www.youtube.com/cotbase
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The Commitment of Traders Report and its Usefulness
Matthew Turner (2009)
Basic overview of Commitments of Traders analysis, in the journal of The London Bullion Market Association - Alchemist.
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Timing The Market With COTs
Alex Roslin (2007)
Another article from the Stocks&Commodities Magazine.
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Watch The Commercials
Sam Bhugaloo (2006)
We believe you should watch all trader groups, not just Commercials. Otherwise, a good article, published in the Stocks&Commodities Magazine.
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Commitments Of Traders (QuickScans)
Bruce R. Faber (2006)
Quick COT intro, good poker metaphor.
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Commitment Of Traders Report: Demystified
Jason Braswell (2005)
Another good introduction to Commitments of Traders analysis.
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Price Dynamics, Price Discovery and Large Futures Trader Interactions in the Energy Complex
Michael S. Haigh (2005)
Scientific study on the effects of Large Speculators on prices. Interesting read.
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The Commitments of Traders Report! What Do You Do With It?
Wayne Krautkramer (2004)
Interesting blog post about COT analysis, great quotation from Bill Jiler's Forecasting Methodology article.
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Hedgers, funds, and small speculators in the energy futures markets
Sanders, D.R. (2004)
Article on traders' commitments in energy futures, from the journal Energy Economics.
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The Profitability of Speculators in Currency Futures Markets
Jonathan Kearns (2004)
Study using COT data to "speculate" on how profitable are the speculators. A Reserve Bank of Australia research.
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Exchange Rate Changes and Net Positions of Speculators in the Futures Markets
Thomas Klitgaard and Laura Weir (2004)
Another study based on currency futures COT data. A Federal Bank of New York research.
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Analyze Net Positions
Jon D. Andersen (2002)
On the most important basis of COT analysis: the net positions of market participants.
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The Commitment Of Traders Report
Jon D. Andersen (2002)
Excellent introduction to Commitments of Traders analysis.
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Who Trades Futures and How: Evidence from the Heating Oil Futures Market
Louis H. Ederington (2000)
Very interesting study on the behavior of Heating Oil markets' participants.
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Do Hedge Funds and Commodity Funds Affect Commodity Prices?
Donald O. Mitchell (1997)
Study showing that speculators are not always the driving force of extreme price movements.
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The COT Index
Scott Barrie (1996)
Interesting article on the COT Index, published in Stocks&Commodities Magazine.
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Pork Bellies and the COT Index
Scott W. Barrie (1996)
Great article, running tests on agricultural futures.
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Commitments of Traders as a sentiment indicator
Stephen E. Briese (1990)
Great short introduction to COT analysis, published in Stocks&Commodities Magazine.
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The Theory of Hedging and Speculation in Commodity Futures
Leland L. Johnson (1960)
Clear analysis on the important differences between the yin and yang of futures trading: the hedgers and the speculators.